Mid-Week Pauper Meta Report: May 28, 2015

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About this article

This is a weekly report on the online pauper meta. The data it uses are from last Wednesday to this Wednesday. It looks at the data that Tom Scud collects from a selection of dailies. He watches the replays on MTGO to figure out how each person did, not just the 3-1s and 4-0s that Wizards publishes. This allows us to see the whole iceberg and figure out how well each deck did in total. Now, this data is just for this week and just from the data Tom collects, so it does ignore the other 3-1/4-0 results which means it is not perfect. Additionally, the conclusions in this article are just based on this week, and as the meta is fluid, the top decks shift. This is intended to see what decks are performing well this week and is not necessarily a reflection of the deck’s overall strength.

This uses the data from the 5/21, 5/22 evening, 5/24 afternoon, and 5/24 evening results

No decks really exploded onto the scene this week and W Tokens continued its fall, but UB Angler has now risen to make up more than 5% of the field and had a quite decent week. The other major story is that the DtK season is wrapping up and Modern Masters 2015 is coming in as the hot new thing.

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The prominence graphs are above and really there is not too much fluctuation from the prominence in all of the field and just the 3-1 and 4-0 results. The only deck that increased/decreased by more than 2% was Esper Fae. This shows a decently even metagame for the week and not the large jumps that can often occur.

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The graph above demonstrated the 2 groups of decks this week. Esper Fae is above all with over 60% cash and win rates and just after that UR Fiend, UB Angler, Delver, and Burn are all very close to each other with very strong weeks. Affinity, MBC, and Stompy did not do as well, with the entire group having less than 30% cash rates and a losing record. Stompy had a much worse week than I expected, but other than that this graph is not super surprising.

As always thanks for reading, Najay1!

Winners

1. Esper Fae Combo – Esper Fae continues its hot streak at the top of the charts with a 62.5% cash rate and a 65.45% win rate. It was very polar in the results as it had 10 decks in the money and 4 decks winless with only 2 in between. With the arrival of Gut Shot, the deck now is much less safe going off while the opponent is tapped out and could suffer as a result, but for the current season Esper Fae is leaving on top. Look for another strong week from Esper Fae.

2. UR Fiend – A deck that has not been racking up the numbers recently, it made a strong showing this week as it put up a 43.75% cash rate and 57.41% win rate. Despite that, I do not expect the deck to be a major power in the meta in the immediate future. The question with the deck going forward is to what extent the deck will utilize Gut Shot, if at all. I am a bit surprised about the amount of UR Fiend with the dominance of MBC as it is not a strong match up at all and I would not look for the deck to be great during the end of the season.

3. UB Angler – The best Gurmag Angler deck is starting to really become a deck to watch out for. Last week the deck just missed 5% prominence and this week it barely got over the mark with a 5.06% prominence. With the larger sample size, the deck’s results can now be analyzed more accurately and this week it did quite well with a 43.75% cash rate and a 55.56% win rate. The Delver version of the deck is now by far the better contender and has put up very strong results. I really like this deck and its current version which have done better than the Turbo Angler decks of last season.

Losers

1. W Tokens – The past flavor of the week deck is now diminishing back to its normal size with a 3.8% prominence across the 4 dailies. Those decks did not have strong numbers either as it had a 8.33% cash rate and a 42.11% win rate, not the most stellar. The win rate does indicate the cash rate should probably be higher (as 1/3 of the pilots went 2-X), but it could also indicate that the top decks were prepared for W Tokens. As the hate starts to fade away, the deck may be able to make a comeback.

2. Stompy – Stompy is a deck that I thought would be great in the coming weeks, but it certainly did not have a great performance this week. With a 22.73% cash rate and a 45.07% win rate, the deck did not do as well as expected. One of the reasons for the failure is a 2-6 record versus Esper Fae (not including the data from the 5/24 evening daily) which was its second most common match up. This was mostly just a bad draw for Stompy and they probably will not meet too much in the future. Overall, I can see this deck doing decent to great before Gut Shot hits at which time the future is unknown.

3. Affinity – Affinity also had a below average week, again, as it took home a 27.27% cash rate and a 44.93% win rate. The deck had as many 0-X as it did 3-1s and it placed 0 4-0s. The deck has been mediocre pretty consistently in the season, but the addition of Gut Shot ma change its fate. On one hand, Gut Shot is just terrible against Affinity, as it can basically hit nothing except Flayer Husk (which isn’t even in every list). Yet, Delver isn’t a bad matchup (16-16 in this season) and can be tuned to be a great one and Delver may be put out of the meta to some extent (although it is currently underplayed so we will see). The results of this deck in the next season will be interesting to watch.

Deck Spotlight

MBC – MBC was again the most popular deck with 51 entries through 4 dailies. That leads to a prominence of 16.14% which is down from the more than 20% it packed last week. The deck was below average this week with a 29.41% cash rate and a 48.78% win rate. These are both a bit below average, but are not as bad as some of the numbers seen in the past. Interesting again was the difference between the cash and win rate. Overall, the deck was again did not merit the top spot in the meta, but this week was a bit better than some of its past results.

Brew of the Week

UR Tron Fae Combo – This is not the newest deck on the block and has been around for a decent while, and has never really put up more than a few copies in the results. The list is similar to RUG Tron, but it does not rely on big fatties to get the job done, but the Cloud of Fae win con like in Esper Fae. I do like this deck because it seems to have more resistance to MBC and also can win by Kaervek’s Torch or Sage’s Row Denizen. An interesting list and one that I think more should check out.

Data

Thanks to Tom the Scud. Check out his Facebook and his Big Fat Spreadsheet.

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PCT Results

The PCT is a weekly tournament hosted on Gatherling.com by LongTimeGone. It occurs Tuesday at 8 pm est.

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Announcing Community League #5: Classic Pauper

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Thanks to the continued support of our wonderful patrons, league #4 is barely behind us and we are already full-steam ahead with league #5.

Want more leagues, tournaments, gauntlets, videos, articles, and other good stuff?

Become a patron today!

Just $2 per month does a lot to support our efforts and you get some great perks, too, including access to our patron-only forums, a direct line on video requests, and the opportunity to win patron prizes.

Community League #5: Format and Rules

As the winner of league #4, PunningLinguist got to choose the format from among those with the most votes. The options I presented to him included Classic Heirloom, Modern Heirloom, Classic Pauper, and Modern Pauper. And yes, I’ve already given it away in the title up there, but he chose Classic Pauper!

Registration is open now and closes in two weeks on Friday, May 15.

To sign up, provide your MTGO username, your real name (or preferred pseudonym), and your time zone down in the comments below.

I will post the first pairings on May 15 and will also send out an email with contact information. That is the only email you will get! After that, you will have to check the site for your next pairings, which will go up on Friday each week. It will be up to each participant to contact their opponent by email to set up their match for the week. Don’t wait for your opponents contact you; be proactive!

We will play 4 weeks of Swiss and then cut to top 8 with the goal to finish the league by June 21.

League Rules

1. Classic Pauper has a filter on MTGO so that part is easy. You may play a new list every week or keep the same list, so long as each list is Pauper legal.

2. You get 3 points for a win and 1 point for a draw. A BYE counts as a win.

3. It is the responsibility of the winner to report their win. They should do so in the comment section of that week’s post. Your comment should look something like this: “Hi, fanofhistory beat bava this week, 2-1.” Report by the end of Thursday each week.

4. Communicate early and often. I will only send out the one email with all your contact information. Don’t lose it! Get in touch by email (it is much more effective than waiting around on MTGO). If no one communicates with each other or with me, that week’s pairing will be considered a draw. After two consecutive draw weeks due to lack of communication, you will be removed from the League. If one person is attempting to communicate and the other person is not, they should let me know. I will attempt to solve issues when I can, but when that doesn’t work out, the person who is trying to communicate will always get the win. Don’t wait until the last minute.

5. After the initial email all official league announcements will happen here on the site. I will update every Friday. You can always stay up to date with the link on the home page or by keeping tabs on the Events page. You can also get updates by liking us on Facebook or following me on Twitter @bava_mtg.

6. We’ll play 4 weeks of Swiss and then cut to Top 8. The league will end by June 21.

7. You can drop at any time. Please let me know if you’d like to drop before the next week’s pairings go up. You will always be welcomed back into subsequent league events.

8. Chat about the league or share lists over in our forums.

9. Contact me if you have any questions.

League Prizes

The winner of the league will receive 10 tickets.

In addition, the best-ranking patron in the league will receive 10 tickets. If that is the same person, they will receive 20 tickets.

The winning patron will have to have been in good standing for at least one month, so go sign up now if you haven’t already!

I will double the prize payouts if we reach Patreon support of $250 by the end of May and maintain it through the end of the event.

Sign up below

To sign up, provide your MTGO username, your real name (or preferred pseudonym), and your time zone down in the comments below.

Community Participation League #2: Launch

Hello Ladies and Gentlenerds!

It’s over, it’s all over. The large lady has hummed her tune, the smoke has cleared, the fires have been extinguished and we have crowned a winner.

Congratulations Sirpoptart, you did the impossible and won the League. You climbed the mountain of competition, leaving destruction in your wake, and that’s amazing.

You get the prizes, you get to pick the format for the second league, you get the glory. Bask in it, sir. Bask.

Okay, enough basking. Get your cards in order, Mr. Tart, because it’s time to start up League #2.

League #2 Format

Formats are important. Everyone has their favorite format, one that really lights their fire. Sirpoptart got to pick the format and he said, “Let the community decide.” You guys definitely had a favorite, and that was Classic Pauper! This was like a 2-0 landslide victory. Other formats never even got to play a land. Just a massive vote turn out for Classic Pauper.

And like lightning down from the heavens, the format swept across the blearily land, bringing joy and revelry to us lowly peasants.

Good old Classic Pauper. The most expensive budget format ever. 10 tix commons. 60 tix decks. All commons all the time!

Here are the official Pauper Deck Construction Rules.

Basically as long as a card has even been printed (online) as a common, you can play it. Minus this ban list:

  • [c]Cloudpost[/c]
  • [c]Cranial Plating[/c]
  • [c]Empty the Warrens[/c]
  • [c]Frantic Search[/c]
  • [c]Grapeshot[/c]
  • [c]Invigorate[/c]
  • [c]Temporal Fissure[/c]

League Two Registration begins now!

Sign up is as simple as can be. First, if you have not registered an account on the site, do that. Make sure to use a valid email address, because some communication about the league will happen via email.

Second, leave a comment in this thread that includes your: preferred name, MTGO username, and time zone. It should look something like this:

“Hey, I am signing up for the league. My name is Sam, my MTGO handle is Vaultboyhunter, and I am in CST (GMT -6).”

It is important that we know which time zone you are in. I didn’t know how important that was last League until like week 4, and by then it was just too late. I need that info for the spreadsheet so even if you played in the first league please let me know. I don’t need to know what your address is, or city or state, just the time zone. So if you live in Sweden you would tell me you are GMT +2 or whatever you are.

The last step is that if you are new to the League this time, be welcome! It’s a fun time, we’re all pretty nice, and we all look forward to playing you.

And that’s it! League #2 in a nutshell!

Registration is OPEN for about 12 days, until September 8 at 9pm CST, so a few days longer then the first league.

Tell your friends, tell your enemies, tell your parents, your children, and your childhood crush. Let’s get a ton of people involved and playing folks, and let’s share the awesome format that is Classic Pauper!

I was going to do my Wrap-Up for League #1 this week, but with all this good information about League #2 to share I wanted to focus on that. Next Monday I’ll provide an update on how we are doing for registration, and will include a League #1 wrap-up including decklists and my thoughts on how the first league went! In the we do have a spot in the forum to talk about the League and share lists, so check it out!

As for Pauper lists, Bava wrote a great article last week with a metric carp-ton of lists. That’s a lot. We’ve also got a topic set up to discuss League #2, and a whole section devoted to Pauper. Go nuts!

And that’s it everyone, you guys did amazing in the first league and I cannot wait for the second one to start. Pauper is a great format, and I love it. I cannot wait to play you guys soon.

Sam AKA Vaultboyhunter